What would happen when non-government T-bill chumps figure out that they’re getting between negative 5 percent and negative 9 percent real interest on a 2-year Treasury note?
… In March, consumer prices rose 0.34 percent, for an annualized rate of more than 4 percent, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. That’s only slightly lower than the 2007 annual rate of 4.1 percent – which was the highest inflation rate this decade.
On the other hand, so-called core inflation – which excludes energy and food prices because they are considered volatile – rose only 0.15 percent, or 2.4 percent over the past year, which is close to the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent comfort zone.
For the Federal Reserve, the core inflation rate amounts to a green light to continue its policy of lowering interest rates in order to keep the economy from falling into a deep recession. A higher inflation rate could conceivably make the central bank freeze or raise interest rates.
But many economists say the core rate does not show how inflation is affecting the typical consumer. Because salary raises for most people are not keeping pace with the rising cost of living, people are using a greater percentage of their wages to buy a smaller amount of goods.
“Food prices and the price of gas are really eroding the purchasing power not just of the working class, but people in the middle class, who are already beginning to have a hard time making ends meet,” said business-trend consultant Joel Kotkin.
John Williams, who spent more than two decades as an economic consultant to Fortune 500 companies, said the government figures understate the true rate of inflation. …
I am getting a little tired of hearing about food inflation, by the way. I bet that a hedge fund got about 100 people to buy massive amounts of food at bulk wholesalers around the country, loaded them on a container for China, and sold the rice for a gigantic profit. The food inflation meme is getting deafening.
Having said that, there’s no doubt that the Fed’s inflation statistics are dripping with phoniness. “Core inflation” is a joke and everyone knows it.